Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.007635 0.008553 0.009555 0.010736 0.012091 0.013603 0.015424
2025-05-18 0.006106 0.007327 0.008774 0.010629 0.012962 0.015824 0.019636
2025-05-25 0.005344 0.006710 0.008418 0.010739 0.013848 0.017927 0.023780
2025-06-01 0.004731 0.006154 0.008010 0.010651 0.014375 0.019540 0.027426
2025-06-08 0.004164 0.005572 0.007473 0.010282 0.014415 0.020421 0.030093
2025-06-15 0.003831 0.005261 0.007256 0.010308 0.014985 0.022094 0.034150
2025-06-22 0.003655 0.005147 0.007293 0.010691 0.016108 0.024720 0.040112
2025-06-29 0.003348 0.004811 0.006966 0.010476 0.016257 0.025794 0.043609
2025-07-06 0.003080 0.004506 0.006655 0.010245 0.016339 0.026743 0.047007
2025-07-13 0.002894 0.004310 0.006492 0.010230 0.016768 0.028327 0.051821
2025-07-20 0.002790 0.004232 0.006503 0.010499 0.017709 0.030938 0.059076
2025-07-27 0.002629 0.004048 0.006327 0.010427 0.018027 0.032419 0.064274
2025-08-03 0.002495 0.003907 0.006222 0.010491 0.018643 0.034641 0.071692
2025-08-10 0.002341 0.003722 0.006029 0.010380 0.018920 0.036248 0.078131
2025-08-17 0.002239 0.003615 0.005959 0.010487 0.019633 0.038857 0.087497
2025-08-24 0.002116 0.003463 0.005798 0.010401 0.019942 0.040636 0.095216
2025-08-31 0.001964 0.003250 0.005511 0.010042 0.019634 0.040989 0.099307
2025-09-07 0.001880 0.003151 0.005422 0.010068 0.020153 0.043322 0.109330
2025-09-14 0.001847 0.003143 0.005502 0.010440 0.021478 0.047790 0.126629
2025-09-21 0.001744 0.002998 0.005311 0.010231 0.021458 0.048935 0.134304
2025-09-28 0.001647 0.002858 0.005120 0.010007 0.021377 0.049909 0.141715
2025-10-05 0.001581 0.002773 0.005031 0.009992 0.021792 0.052260 0.154308
2025-10-12 0.001550 0.002752 0.005067 0.010253 0.022914 0.056725 0.175555